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Yesterday (May 26), the court which is responsible for this area (Østre Landsret) decided the evacuation of Christiania.

Makes me sad and angry.

Greets,
Philip

No, it's a nuanced slant in German as well. But the German mind is arguably more prone to spotting those nuances: in German, it's hard to formulate simple statements and not sound like a moron.


...

Probably not.

The test shows the correct result in 99.99% of all cases. There are 10 pregnant women. 99.99% of 10 pregnant women is more or less 10 pregnant women.

Greets,
Philip

No, the 20 with a positive result:
50% are pregnant and hence get a positive result
50% are not pregnant, but get an incorrect and hence positive result

Greets,
Philip

It's perfectly valid. The surprising answer is a result of the tricky question: it selects a very small subset of the original 100000 women, namely those 20 with a positive test result, and then asks...

A funny example from probability calculus:

Consider a set of 100000 women, all of which are regularly taking the birth control pill (probability of success: 99.99%). Furthermore, they all do a...