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That can be seen in martial arts classes as well. The very eager, very enthusiastic beginner will sometimes catch out the blackbelt because he wants to prove a point. If he wants it more it will happen, and the blackbelt will be going easy and get a kick when he least expects it. Trust me, been there and done it in a class - everyone loves to get one over on the best people in the room.
This is true and it often happens in class, but I think it is those with the most experience that will win the fight. One of my instructors, the greatest sparrer I have fought with is good because he has the experience. He likes to tell the story that when he first started he was just like us. The dedication and practice which led to his experience made him better. When he first started training with instructors he got his butt kicked. It depends on the dedication and time you put into to get the experience to be better.